Something is Happening With the Sun

Russ Steele

I have a post at the Next Grand Minimum on changes on the sun which could have some long term impacts here on earth. Link is HERE, where this graphic is explained in more detail.

We could be headed for a Maunder level minimum, which took place during the Little Ice Age,  a cold period between AD 1550  and AD 1850.  There were three particularly cold intervals: one beginning about 1650, another about 1770, and the last in 1850, each separated by intervals of slight warming.

There were no Sierra glaciers before the LIA. We could see these glaciers grow again if the sun experiences another Grand Minimum.  We are on the cusp of some very interesting times in solar history. Stay Tuned.

KQED Suspends Climate Watch

Russ Steele

KQED Climate Watch has been my viewing port on liberal climate change thinking for the past 4 years.  I did my best to introduce some facts into the discussion by posting in the comments section. Some times those comments appeared on the webpage and then they just vanished. Some times the editors found it hard to deal with the facts.  Now we learn that Climate Watch blog is being suspended in a KQED reorganization.

After four years, numerous awards, and something just shy of 900 blog posts, the multimedia reporting effort that’s been known as Climate Watch is turning a significant page. KQED is combining our efforts with Quest, the station’s more broadly-based science and environmental news and programming effort.

Could it be that the interest in climate change is declining and the Climate Watch readership is declining?  It is interesting to note that the UK Times is suspending publication of it’s monthly global warming propaganda flyer Eureka this month as well.

News International is set to close Eureka, the monthly science and environmental magazine distributed with The Times, this week following a sustained loss of advertising from its global top spending companies

The closure of the 64-page stitched magazine, the first ever launched with the weekday Times and the first dedicated monthly science magazine of any national newspaper, comes exactly three years after its launch.

A source said the imminent closure was a sign of shifting consumer and corporate priorities, as the heightened time of political consciousness around the environment and green issues appears to have receded in these austere times… 

..Eureka covers topics ranging from life and earth sciences to green issues and oceanography…

When readers lose interest, the advertisers lose interest as well. As noted  corporate and consumer priorities have changed. My guess that KQED Climate Watch reader priorities have changed as well, thus the reorganization.

Sacramento and Urban Heat Island Distorts the Facts

Russ Steele

While I was doing some fact checking on the California Energy Commission and the Natural Resources Agency Our Changing Climate 2012 Third Assessment Report that made some claims about more 105 degree days in Sacramento, I plotted the number of extreme heat days from 1878 to 2010.

Just for fun, I did a regression analysis on the numbers and was surprised by the result

Doing some online research, I found a National Weather Service Document Climate of Sacramento, Updated 2010.  In this document we learn that the temperature sensor site has been moved around a bit, but is now is at the Sacramento Water Plant.

On September 28, 1964, the observation site was returned to the post office building at 9th and I streets. On April 1, 1999, the sensors were moved to the Sacramento Water Treatment Plant, east of California State University-Sacramento. Temperature and precipitation data has been transmitted from these locations to the National Weather Service Office since September 28, 1964.

This plant is in a build up area with a lot of concrete according to Google Earth, which could be contributing to a potential heat island.  I decided to look at other nearby sensors and see if they were seeing an increase in extreme heat days. I chose Lodi and Willows to bracket Sacramento.  These stations with records going back to 1931 did not show the same increase in extreme temperatures. I also replotted the Sacramento data from 1931 for an apples to apples comparison.

It appears that we are seeing some Urban Heat Island effect in the Sacramento extreme temperatures. This data also calls in to question the assertion in the Our Changing Climate report that extreme days are increasing, it appears that they are in fact decreasing. Another reason to question the validity of the Third Assessment.

Chick-fil-A Appreciation Day

Russ Steele

This morning I heard on the KFBK that today was Chick-fil-A Appreciation Day.  Ellen and I discuss our options, we could go to Roseville and joint the crowd supporting an organization that stands by it’s principles, or we could stay home and provide support on the Internet.

We soon learned that the Internet was flush with support for Chick-fil-A here, here, and here, including photos of the long lines.

While we did not go to Roseville one of our regular reader did and submitted this report:

Judy and I travelled to Roseville this morning and were reminded while en route by the car radio that today was Show Support For Chick-fil-A day. Seems some constitutionally ignorant eastern city mayors and the equally sycophant media have allowed their opposition to Chick-fil-A’s support of traditional marriage (the outrage!) to cause them to blurt out their intentions to bar Chick from expanding in their cities, no permits forthcoming. All for Chick politely exercising their First Amendment protected free speech in an interview – with a religious news organization. Can’t have that in contemporary Left-Am. One wonders what the voters will think of that. My god, the intolerance of the lefties for those not in lock-step with their tortured perspectives! Opposition opinions not permitted. Pathetic, and quite telling.

Anyway, on our way to TJs and Costco we decided to put our iPhone to work to find us a Chick-fil-A in Roseville. There is one, and since we were hearing on the radio about record lines across the country we decided at 1036 am it might be wise to get there early for lunch. Turning off the 65 freeway onto Pleasant Grove en route to the Chick the traffic was already building. We had to park in a neighboring lot and walked over to take our place in line. Lots of regular people in line, couples, families, grandparents and  kids. Nice folks. The drive-through was equally busy. The young staff behind the counter were doing a laudable job, and all were noticeably clean-cut and very polite. We were most impressed. Lunch was very good, too.

We wonder how the Chick-fil-A staff will enjoy the “kiss-in” planned by the intolerant gay exhibitionist later this week.

On the way out the line had tripled and the traffic line was backed up to Rocklin, well, at least a long city block.

God bless Americans!

The support for Chick-fil-A has been extraordinary and Ellen and I regret that we did not join the long line of supporters. However, Chick-fil-Awill our lunch spot the next time we are in Roseville, it id only s few blocks from our daughter house.  It is important continue the support over time. See you at the Chick-fil-A.

#GreenFail: Amonix closes North Las Vegas solar plant after 14 months, heavy federal subsidies

Russ Steele

Hubble Smith writing in the Las Vegas Review-Journal has the details:

The Amonix solar manufacturing plant in North Las Vegas, heavily financed under an Obama administration energy initiative, has closed its 214,000-square-foot facility 14 months after it opened.

Officials at Amonix headquarters in Seal Beach, Calif., have not responded to repeated calls for comment this week. The company today began selling equipment, from automated tooling systems to robotic welding cells.

A designer and manufacturer of concentrated photovoltaic solar power systems, Amonix received $6 million in federal tax credits and a $15.6 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy to build the plant in North Las Vegas.

Rene Kenerly, a former material and supply manager at Amonix, said the plant has been idle since May 1, when he was laid off. At its peak, the plant had ramped up to about 700 employees working three shifts a day to produce solar panels for a utility customer in Amarosa, Colo., he said.

“I don’t think they had a lot of training,” Kenerly said. “There were a lot of quality issues. A lot of stuff was coming back because it had some functionality issues.”

Once again, proof that the Governement cannot pick winners and quality control is the key to success, or failure. All the Federal money in the world cannot save a company that turns out shoddy products. When they ran out of other peoples money, they closed the plant. This seems to be the history of the Obama stimulus.

 

Arctic Ice Reality Check

Russ Steele

Secretary of State Clinton recently visited the Arctic to observe global warming first hand, meeting with Norwegian officials to discuss the changing Arctic and the thinning polar ice. According to the Voice of America News:

Over the last 20 years, Norwegian climate scientists say the Arctic has been losing 45000 square kilometers of ice cover a year. That has opened new shipping routes across the north that could make trade between Europe and Asia 40 percent faster.

ooo

Secretary Clinton says she learned that many of the predictions about warming in the Arctic are being surpassed by the actual data, something she says that is not necessarily surprising but is certainly sobering.

Here is the latest Arctic Sea Ice Plot, note now close to the mean it is this year.

I have no idea what Clinton actually saw, but I found this article in the Miami Herald most interesting: Heavy ice could delay start of Shell Alaska’s Arctic drilling

SEATTLE — The heaviest polar ice in more than a decade could postpone the start of offshore oil drilling in the Arctic Ocean until the beginning of August, a delay of up to two weeks, Shell Alaska officials said.

Unveiling a newly refurbished ice-class rig that is poised to begin drilling two exploratory wells this summer in the Beaufort Sea, Shell executives said Friday that the unusually robust sea ice would further narrow what already is a tight window for operations.

Shell must stop drilling  about Sept. 24, which is 38 days before ice is likely to move in, to allow enough time in open water to fix a wellhead blowout.

Read more HERE.

Public Thugs Mug Facebook – Could Kill Jobs?

Russ Steele

I often read the Coyote Blog, Dispatches from a Small Business. Here is some interesting insight as to why job creation in CA is static.

Wow, I Wonder Why Job Creation Isn’t Occurring in California?

I wonder if its because companies have to beg for government permission, and then pay a hefty bribe, to get permission to hire more employees:

The city council in Menlo Park, Calif., is set to approve a deal that will let Facebook employ thousands more people at its headquarters there.

Mayor Kirsten Keith says officials are expected to green light the environmental impact report and the development agreement at a meeting Tuesday night. City staff has recommended the city approve the deal.

That means Facebook employees, currently numbering about 2,200 in Menlo Park, will soon be able to stretch out. If the deal is approved, Facebook will be able to employ about 6,600 workers in Menlo Park, up from its current limit of 3,600. That was the constraint on Sun Microsystems, which previously occupied the campus.

Facebook will pay Menlo Park an average of $850,000 a year over 10 years to compensate for the additional load on the city. It will also make a one-time payment of more than $1 million for capital improvements and set up community services such as high school internship and job training programs. Facebook is also creating a $500,000 local community fund that will dole out grants and charitable contributions to communities surrounding Facebook’s campus.

Facebook is making the payments because Menlo Park can’t collect sales taxes from Facebook.

The last is a dodge – this is a protection racket, pure and simple.  Presumably Facebook pays property taxes on its corporate offices, as do its employees who live nearby.  Also, these new employees will all spend money in the local economy that will generate sales taxes.  Facebook presumably pays for water, sewer, trash and other utilities, and their employees are paying gas taxes as they drive that pay for the roads.  Facebook pays California income taxes, as do their employees.  What are these mystery costs that are not getting covered?  The community services bit is a hint that this is a stick-up, with Menlo Park demanding its cut of the recent IPO.

The truth is that cities and counties in California see business expansion plans the same way that Tony Soprano looks at the Museum of Science and Trucking — as a way to maximize their skim.  I operate a campground in Ventura County that DOES pay sales taxes the County so far will not let me increase my live-in staff without making a big payment.  Even the remodeling of our store required 7 separate checks written to Ventura County agencies.

You can read the rest HERE. Reason Magazine has another story about killing jobs in Ventura County.

Western Streams Resisting Non-existing Climate Change

Russ Steele

I love to read the KQED Climate Change blog, that is were I go to get my daily chuckles on what our lefty environmentalist wackos are up to this week. And, this week they did not disappoint with this study of western streams that are resisting climate change by not following the computer models.

Study: Western Streams Resist Influence of a Warming Climate

Hot Creek, near Mammoth Lakes, was one of 20 streams in the Western U.S. examined in a study by Oregon State researchers who found no clear relationship between increasing air temperatures and stream temperatures.

Rising sea levels, melting glaciers, intensifying storm events – evidence is mounting that the effects of a warming planet will be far-reaching and potentially catastrophic. But one natural system may be more resilient than others when it comes to global warming: mountain streams.

Researchers from Oregon State University report in the journal Geophysical Research Letters that small streams in the western United States have not heated up in response to the region’s warming air temperatures.

You can read the rest of this academic non-sense HERE. First, lets dispel the non-sense about rising sea levels, melting glaciers and intensifying storms.  Check out the charts HERE. Sea levels have been rising at regular rate since the Little Ice Age, in Africa, Asia, New Zealand,  South America and California glaciers are growing, and there has been no increase in storm intensity, and we are now at record levels for no hurricanes striking the US.  Where do these people get their scientific information, the New York Times?

Now lets get to those stream that are resisting the rise in Sierra temperatures. What if the real reason they have avoided any climate change influence is that there has not been any climate change?  Temperatures have been essential flat for more than ten years globally.

The following figure shows the annual mean temperature anomalies for the two 5×5 degree grids covering the Pacific Northwest coast of the U.S. — western Oregon and Washington from 1900 to 2007. This data is from the Hadley Climatic Research Unit (HadCRU) as used by the IPCC.

The following figure shows the average annual temperature anomalies for the average of the four 5×5 degree grids covering California for 1930 – 2009 (indicated in yellow on the map).

Two grid charts above are from Global Warming Science

The report rattles on:

“It is a small set and we are trying not to extrapolate too much from this data. But some streams in our study seem to be getting warmer,” lead author Ivan Arismendi told me. “Others are getting cooler and some have not changed much at all. But our data suggests that warming air temperatures are not having a corresponding effect on streams.”

It just could be that there has been no significant warming in the Sierra for over 80 years.  I wonder if these academic idiots thought of that as a solution and not have assumed that the there has been significant warming just because the computer models indicated there should have been warming, where in reality none existed.

 . . . the research will continue, focusing on current computer models used to predict how streams will respond to a warming climate.  “Most of the predictions in the models are based on a correlation [between air and stream temperature],” says Arismendi. “So we are trying to test how good those models are for specific sites.”

I think it would help if these folks got out of the computer modeling labs and took a look at some real world temperatures before they embarrass themselves some more.  If there was no warming, there would be no response from the streams.

Climate mania impoverishes electricity customers here and abroad

Russ Steele

Several readers have forward the Financial Post article below on how climate mania is impoverishing citizens ad alternative energy schemes are used to drive up the cost of energy.  Even though this is a world wide impact,  there is also a connection to California.  First this from the Financial Post: Lawrence Solomon: Green power failure

The North American exemplar of acting on the perceived threat of global warming is Ontario, which dismantled one of the continent’s finest fleets of coal plants in pursuit of becoming a green leader. Then, to induce developers to build uneconomic renewable energy facilities, the Ontario government paid them as much as 80 times the market rate for power. The result is power prices that rose rapidly (about 50% since 2005) and will continue to do so: Ontarians can expect power prices that are 46% higher over the next five years, according to a 2010 Ontario government estimate, and more than 100% higher according to independent estimates. The rest of Canada may not fare much better — the National Energy Board forecasts power prices 42% higher by 2035, while some estimates have Canadian power prices 50% higher by 2020.

Another reader saw the California connection on the CARB website:

If you go to the CARB web site, http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/capandtrade.htm, you’ll find this sentence, “California is working closely with British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec and Manitoba through the Western Climate Initiative to develop harmonized cap and trade programs that will deliver cost-effective emission reductions.”

The question is if Canadian Provinces are going to harmonize Cap and Trade programs, that will also result in the harmonization of energy costs. We can also expect our power prices to go up 45 to 50 percent as well. However, the Financial Post article points out that the rest of the US is seeing stable or slight declines in the price of electricity. As energy prices rise in California, they will be  declining in the rest of the US as power companies adopt more cheap natural gas. As fracking produces more gas the price continues to drop.

The question one reader asks is:

Will the abundant supply of cheap natural gas overcome the renewable mandates to keep California’s rates from rising or will California’s rate payers see price rises like they did in Ontario?

Given what we know about CARB’s single minded focus on creating a Cap and Trade slush fund and the environmental wacko legislators in Sacramento, who are taking big time political donations from all the “go green” VCs, I have serious doubts that California will ever take full advantage of cheap natural gas and move away form the more expensive alternative energy schemes, there is just too much money involved, and too little political power in the hands of rate payers.

“Can-Do California” Lefty View of Economic Development

Russ Steele

When ever I see the word “smart” in a report my BS detector goes off. You can imagine what happened when I read the following description of an Southern CA economic summit. [My emphasis added.]

We branded the summit “Thriving Regions Lead to a Thriving State” and the theme of this summit, which will address actionable priorities in five areas, is “Can-Do California.”

Smart workforce: Despite out-of-work Californians, there are not enough qualified workers, even for middle-class manufacturing jobs. We must strengthen the talent pipeline, short-term and long-term, to meet the skill needs of our ever-changing economy. California can do that.

Smart infrastructure: The bill for California’s infrastructure neglect is $765 billion, including transportation, water and public facilities. We need world-class infrastructure. The summit will identify ways to improve our existing infrastructure and map out innovative financing for new infrastructure, and it will focus on water, a top San Diego priority. California can solve its infrastructure problem.

Smart innovation: Californians still lead the world in technology, agriculture and entertainment, but we’re complacent. Other regions and other nations are closing the gap. With our world-class universities, there is more we can do to move ideas from the lab to the market and to help entrepreneurs succeed. Policies that foster innovation across all industries are critical to regional economies, so the summit will identify the next best ways to connect, feed and entertain the world. California can remain the leader in innovation.

Smart capital: Creating jobs takes money. At every regional forum, entrepreneurs implored: Help us find the money! We can leverage existing resources, identify ways to invest locally, including a California version of crowdfunding, and expand on the linkages that help ensure young businesses succeed. Californians want to invest in and buy from Californians, given the chance. California can connect entrepreneurs with capital.

Smart regulations: California is said to be a tough place to do business. Regional forum participants said “more red carpet and less red tape,” and offered ideas that protect the intent of California’s key environmental regulation, CEQA – high environmental standards – but limit the actions of those who use CEQA for non-environmental reasons. The regional forums also explored ways to streamline permitting of all kinds. California can maintain the highest environmental standards and be streamlined, certain and business-friendly.

In short, thanks to the regions and the many Californians who participated in regional forums, we can become a “Can-Do” state once again.

Huh?  Switch your BS detector on as there are still more details HERE.

I Wonder Why Nevada City has Not Jointed this Foolishness?

Russ Steele

Let the Carbon Games begin, writes KQED’s Climate Watch as cities compete to cut carbon emissions.  

Ten California cities are competing over the next year to reduce their carbon emissions.

Individuals, local governments and businesses will all be involved in the project, called the Cool California Challenge. The Cool California website has a carbon calculator, tips on reducing your footprint and links to rebates. Plus there’s a social media element, so you can envy, goad or cooperate with your neighbors as you see fit.

The competing cities are Chula Vista, Citrus Heights, Davis, Gonzales, Pittsburg, Pleasanton, Sacramento, Santa Cruz, San Jose and Tracy. Participants — whether they’re individuals, companies or other types of organizations — earn points by being more carbon-conscious.

Citrus Heights, Davis, Sacramento, Santa Cruz San Jose and Tracy are the only ones with Cooperative Weather Stations. It might be fund to plot their climate history and then see of this foolishness has any significance. How every with natural cooling forecast it will be hard to tell what is real and what is carbon cooling. According to he Weather Guy on Ch-13 last night Sacramento was cooler than average in March, as were several other cities in the valley.

With all the lefty warmers in Nevada City, I was sure they would be on the list of competitors. I guess they are too buy taking the happiness survey to be worrying about the carbon games.

It was also be interesting to see if any of these cities file for bankruptcy in the competition year, this competition seems just the thing to distract the city staffs from focusing on real world issues.

It looks like Davis had has some smal warming over the last 99 years, with some cooling starting a about 2000 and declining sharply over the last ten years.

Tomorrow Is Loony Earth Hour (Updated)

Russ Steele

On Saturday, 8:30 PM local time, environmental wackos have invited everyone in California to turn off all their electrical devices and sit in the dark. According to the World Wildlife Fund, Earth Hour is intended to “encourage American cities to prepare for the costly impacts of climate-related extreme weather and reduce their carbon footprint.”

As we have done every year, we plan to turn on all our lights at 8:30 PM Local.  Join us in this small protest. You can see the results at the California ISO  Here is a 2009 CISO plot.

Update (o3-31-12, 1025) Here is the daily plot. it look a lot like the 2009 plot. No change.


In 2009 observers of the electrical load at the CISO saw no decrease in the load:

There was no apparent decrease in the power load throughout the state, from 8:30 to 9:30 p.m.  No step changes, nothing, nada, zip, zilch.

I posted on the issue HERE. My original post ended up as Guest Post at Watts Up With That, which was eventually mentioned by Rush Limbaugh.  Let see what happens this year.

Why Should We Believe Anything Obama’s Agencies Say?

Russ Steele

The EPA has been lying to us over global warming according to Dr. Alan Carlin, now retired, a career environmental economist at EPA.  Attorney General Holder has been lying about Fast and Furious, Hansen at GISS has been adjusting the historic raw data to prove his AGW theory, and now we learn the government lying is a little closer to home.

The Record-Searchlight has the story of a fired federal advisor who is reporting that the Department of Interior manipulated data supporting removal of the Klamath River dams.

A federal agency’s former scientific integrity adviser has filed a whistle-blower complaint saying he was fired from his job after he began questioning top officials about “spinning” evidence to tout the removal of Klamath River dams.

“The bottom line is they need to be honest about the science and the decision making,” Paul R. Houser, an associate hydrology professor at George Mason University, told the Record Searchlight on Tuesday, in his first remarks to the media about his whistle-blower complaint.

He says there have been a number of scientific studies that showed dam removal comes with some risks or wouldn’t be nearly as beneficial to threatened coho salmon habitat as Interior Secretary Ken Salazar’s staff made it seem.

Salazar, appointed to the post by President Barack Obama in 2009, has made clear the issue is a high personal priority for him.

You can read the rest of the story HERE. Stay Tuned, as U.S. Reps. Wally Herger, R-Chico, and Tom McClintock, R-Granite Bay, are investigating. Other House committees have expressed interest.

One more of Obama’s Agencies caught with there hand in the cooky jar.  When will these people learn that the truth will always win the day.

There is More Than One Reason to Move to Wyoming

Russ Steele

I lived in Wyoming for a couple of summers between College semesters, and worked in the oil and gas fields. Made good money for being just a laborer. Ellen and I have visited Wyoming multiple times in our RV and plan to return when ever possible. There are some great people in Wyoming.  And, according to this report some thinkers as well:

State representatives on Friday advanced legislation to launch a study into what Wyoming should do in the event of a complete economic or political collapse in the United States.

House Bill 85 passed on first reading by a voice vote. It would create a state-run government continuity task force, which would study and prepare Wyoming for potential catastrophes, from disruptions in food and energy supplies to a complete meltdown of the federal government.

One of the triggers to a potential meltdown could be an extreme food shortage caused by the onset of the next mini ice age.  Growing season will become shorter and the bread basket of the norther hemisphere in the Canada and the US will move farther and farther south, resulting in less productivity during the transition. It was the bread riots that brought down the French Kings during the last mini-ice age.

Ann Althouse has some more thoughts on being prepared here. She thinks that every state should have a plan to operate should the US government collapse.

Do you think the liberal/progressive in Sacramento would even give a passing thought to the idea that California should have a plan like Wyoming?

 

 

KQED’s Climate Watch Reacts to Gleickgate

Russ Steele

Peter Gleick was one of KQED Climate Watch’s go to guys when it came to climate change issues.  The would report on all of Gleick Climate Change Reports that he wrote for California government agencies. When ever I would comment on flaws in those reports, Peter Gleick was quick to respond on the Climate Watch Blog. It was almost like Climate Watch and the Pacific Institute was joined at the hip.

It will interesting to see how Climate Watch reports the story, including the future of Dr Gleick, who appears to have severely damaged the global warming movement and put himself in legal jeopardy. He has admitted to obtaining the Heartland documents by fraud, and releasing them to warmer web sites. He has yet to admit to writing the “smoking gun” fake memo, but there are multiple bloggers on the trail of the writer.

It will be interesting to see how this episode plays out on National Public Radio in San Francisco. Stay Tuned.

I do not listen to NPR in Sacramento. Have they report and comment on the Heartland ethic challenge by Dr. Gleick?

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