Fact Checking the Third Assessment Report from the CA Climate Change Center, Part I-A
08/06/2012 1 Comment
In Part I of this fact checking project, I started with the section titled California’s Changing Climate. I now have to add Part I-A, as I read through the report this graphic leaped out at me, claiming that Sacramento Extreme Heat will become more common with climate change.
Do your see the problem with this graphic? Really? Do you know of any climate models, especially those listed in the graphic that can predict the exact temperature fluctuation year after year out to 2100? There is no credible science that can do this! The models referenced could not even predict the current 15 year cooling trend, nor have they been capable of back casting our historical climate, so how can the authors of this Assessment Report expect their readers to believe these charts. No credible scientist could create this chart, there is no way to forecast this kind of detail. Even the UN IPCC scientist were smart enough to just focus on a trend line with no spurious variations.
Even the smoothed part of the graphic showing the number extreme heat days is bogus.
Here are the dates with the number of days when the temperatures in Sacramento were 105º or higher, with the highest of 114 in 1924, from the National Weather Service Station in Sacramento. Note the above chart extract shows the most hot days in the 1970s. National Weather Service reports the most days wer in the 1980s.
The Number of Extreme Heat Days Chart shows more hot days in the 1970s when the Weather Service shows the most hot days in the 1980s (1988,1984,1985, 1987) One has to conclude that this is not a scientific chart, but a bogus graphical hoax on the reader, and policy makers that the report targets.
Here is a look at the extreme temperatures by date from 1878 to 2010. Note the 114 temp in 1924.
Data from the Western Regional Climate Center.
Stay Tuned for more analysis of the this bogus climate change assessment.