Thinking About Sandy and Katrina Survival Modes

Russ Steele

Katrina was a August hurricane in the southern part of the US where the weather was quite warm before and after the hurricane. One of the big challenges for those that survived without power was to stay cool.

Sandy on the other hand was a winter hurricane in the norther part of the country, where cool fall weather is quite common. The challenge for the survivors will be to stay warm.

Below is the Unisys GFSX model forecast for the next 48 hours on the 5th.  By Wednesday the 7th it will be even colder, with winds from the north. By Sunday the 11th it is colder yet. It does not start warming until Monday the 12th.  This is going to be real challenge for those without heat and light.

The 1000 mb chart also shows near surface weather conditions. The parameters plotted are 1000 mb temperature in Celsius (in color contours), convergence (black lines, interval=2, shaded > 0), 1000 mb dewpoints in Celsius (colored lines, interval=5, bold orange=20, bold white=15, bold red=0, bold magenta=-15, bold gray=-30) and winds plotted as vectors.

On Thursday the 5th the rain starts with some snow in the higher elevations..

The sea level pressure and precipitation forecast chart includes three parameters: sea level pressure (cyan lines), 1000-500 mb thickness (brown dotted lines, 5100, 5400, 5700 solid lines) and quantitative precipitation (color contours).

If your would like to do your own analysis you can go here:  http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/gfsx.php?i

Life in New York, New Jersey and surrounding region is going to be quite difficult for the survivors, unless the power and lights get turned on real soon now!

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About Russ Steele
Freelance writer and climate change blogger. Russ spent twenty years in the Air Force as a navigator specializing in electronics warfare and digital systems. After his service he was employed for sixteen years as concept developer for TRW, an aerospace and automotive company, and then was CEO of a non-profit Internet provider for 18 months. Russ's articles have appeared in Comstock's Business, Capitol Journal, Trailer Life, Monitoring Times, and Idaho Magazine.

7 Responses to Thinking About Sandy and Katrina Survival Modes

  1. Arthur M. Day. says:

    The New Jersey unions turning away the Alabama nonunion power line workers won’t help. Who is running things back there anyway?

  2. Arthur M. Day. says:

    And Mayor Bloomberg won’t let the National Guard patrol the damaged areas because they carry guns. It will be interesting to see if Hizzoner tries for and gets a second term.

  3. From Twitter: I’m in Far Rockaway. Help needed here. There’s nowhere near enough food, no heat/power. People looting. Children in great need. Please help.

  4. Dick Morris:

    Natural disasters usually follow the same political trajectory: First the incumbent experiences a bounce as he tours the impacted area, shows his concern, and pledges help to his beleaguered constituents. But then reality sets in and the shortages, delays, mishaps, deaths, and devastation becomes apparent and people turn against the incumbent.

    George W. Bush had his Katrina.

    And now Barack Obama has his Sandy.

    Last week, Obama asserted a kind of ownership of the storm by touring New Jersey in the now infamous embrace of Republican stalwart Governor Chris Christie. Now that we are all appalled by the lack of food, gas, water, heat, and the basic essentials of life throughout the storm zone, Obama’s government doesn’t look so good anymore.
    Why didn’t FEMA stockpile food, water, and gasoline? We had a week’s notice to prepare for Sandy. There was no shortage of time. Did the government not realize that people needed to eat, drink, and drive?

    All throughout America, we are asking these questions of our television sets as we watch the evolving story of human misery.

  5. Arthur M. Day. says:

    The Dutch philosopher Desiderius Erasmus (1466?>1536), pointed out that all organizations, no matter how noble their founding aims, soon become mainly focused on self preservation. There is not much to be done about that, all we have to work with are human beings.

  6. Update on the weather in the East:

    The National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) of the US National Weather Service indicates massive snowfall across the Northeast, with up to 25 inches of snow in Massachusetts and Vermont in the days ahead.

    “If the latest 5-day forecast has any degree of accuracy, then it bodes very very ill for the Northeast USA – a region already battered and down on its knees after the body blow delivered by Sandy,” says this article on No Trick Zone. “Mother Nature has no mercy.”

    Actual snowfall, of which some may melt, 20-25” maximum for W. Mass. Still 5-6 days away to gas up snowblower,” says meteorologist Dr. Ryan Maue

    It will be a classic noreaster with heavy snows from Virginia to New York and the Northeast, says meteorologist Joe Bastardi.

  7. Arthur M. Day. says:

    That’s just not fair. Enough is enough.

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