Obama’s Benghazi Story is Unraveling Right Before Our Eyes

Russ Steele

Drudge: He Knew

(Reuters) – Officials at the White House and State Department were advised two hours after attackers assaulted the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, on September 11 that an Islamic militant group had claimed credit for the attack, official emails show.

The emails, obtained by Reuters from government sources not connected with U.S. spy agencies or the State Department and who requested anonymity, specifically mention that the Libyan group called Ansar al-Sharia had asserted responsibility for the attacks.

The Diplomad 2.0 has some insight to the issues.

The Benghazi Emails, and Some Speculation on What It All means

FOX and others have obtained a series of UNCLASSIFIED real-time email messages from Tripoli back to the DS OP Center that showed that the Embassy was aware of a terrorist attack on the facility in Benghazi. Those messages were shot around to a wide range of people in Washington in a number of agencies. I am sure that in addition to these messages were many classified emails, cables, and phone calls, as well as real time video both from the facility and, apparently, from a UAV platform. There is no way that senior levels of the National Command Authority (NCA) could not have known what has happening in Benghazi.

More HERE, but this is most interesting:

What is also becoming clearer, at least to me, from conversations, and bits of this and that I am reading, that we seemed to be cooking up some sort of an arms transfer from Libyan groups to Syrian groups via Turkey. I can’t prove it, but that seems a very likely scenario and would help explain the presence in Benghazi of Stevens, the “senior” Turkish diplomat, and the ex-SEALs who were working with a contractor to find and secure MANPADS. [Man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS or MPADS) are shoulder-launched surface-to-air missiles (SAMs)] To whom exactly those weapons might be going, I have no idea, and do not know what if any relation or reaction the attackers had to any possible arms transfer deals being negotiated. The possible combinations are so numerous that it is not worth speculating; I won’t.

If any of this is true, that could be a motive for the misadministration to try to lie about and divert attention from Benghazi developments. We might have on our hands a “Fast and Furious” scandal mated with an “Iran-Contra”scandal, and all on steroids.

Now you know why Romney did not get involved. The truth is coming out with out any help from him. It is going to be a tough week for President Obama, as the details leak into the news. Stay Tuned. I highly recommend reading the Diplomad 2.0 he has the experience to put the news in perspective.

Real Science: Afternoon Invocation

Russ Steele

I am a Steven Goddard fan and found this on his blog this afternoon and wanted to share these truths with readers.

Always remember the CO2 commandments – carved in ice.

  1. A record Arctic minimum is proof of global warming
  2. A record high Antarctic maximum is none of your business
  3. Whatever the current weather is, we predicted it all along
  4. Snow is a thing of the past
  5. The record low Arctic minimum means lots of snow
  6. The southern hemisphere is filled with savages and is none of your business
  7. Hot weather is climate
  8. Cold weather is none of your business
  9. Global cooling causes extreme weather
  10. Global warming causes extreme weather

The bonus commandment for NOAA – adjust the numbers as much as needed

Enjoy!

 

A Science Question for Ben and Steven (Updated)

Russ Steele

If the admission to the school of your choice, be it Cornell, or lets say Columbia or Harvard, depended on you answering this question — “Given the facts presented in the chart below, is CO2 driving the Earth’s temperature?” — how would you answer it?

And the answer is?

H/T to Joe Bastardi for the questions and the graphic showing the disconnect between CO2 and Temperature.

Update (09-03-12, 0920): The Sun is still slumping, with declining sunspots. One has to wonder are the declining temperaturs related to the declining sunspots. More details at the Next Grand Minimum.

New blockbuster paper finds man-made CO2 is not the driver of global warming

Russ Steele

This is a repost from The Hockey Schtick:

An important new paper published today in Global and Planetary Change finds that changes in CO2 follow rather than lead global air surface temperature and that “CO2 released from use of fossil fuels have little influence on the observed changes in the amount of atmospheric CO2” The paper finds the “overall global temperature change sequence of events appears to be from 1) the ocean surface to 2) the land surface to 3) the lower troposphere,” in other words, the opposite of claims by global warming alarmists that CO2 in the atmosphere drives land and ocean temperatures. Instead, just as in the ice cores, CO2 levels are found to be a lagging effect ocean warming, not significantly related to man-made emissions, and not the driver of warming. Prior research has shown infrared radiation from greenhouse gases is incapable of warming the oceans, only shortwave radiation from the Sun is capable of penetrating and heating the oceans and thereby driving global surface temperatures.

The highlights of the paper are:

► The overall global temperature change sequence of events appears to be from 1) the ocean surface to 2) the land surface to 3) the lower troposphere.

► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging about 11–12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature.

► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 9.5-10 months behind changes in global air surface temperature.

► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging about 9 months behind changes in global lower troposphere temperature.

► Changes in ocean temperatures appear to explain a substantial part of the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 since January 1980.

CO2 released from use of fossil fuels have little influence on the observed changes in the amount of atmospheric CO2, and changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions.

Read more of this post

When Reality does NOT Fit the Model the Model Is WRONG!

 

 New evidence that water vapor is a negative feedback

A paper published today in the Journal of Geophysical Research asks the question, “Why does the temperature rise faster in the arid region of northwest China?” The runaway greenhouse theory alleges that warming from greenhouse gases will be amplified by increased evaporation and atmospheric water vapor. According to the theory, wet areas with the most atmospheric water vapor should warm faster than arid areas with less. However, observations from 1960-2010 show that the dry region of China warmed faster than the rest of China and the entire globe. The authors explain this apparent paradox as primarily due to theSiberian High, a natural atmospheric circulation. CO2 is well-mixed in the atmosphere and therefore cannot account for different rates of warming in different regions.

The finding that arid regions warm faster and cool faster than wet regions around the globe was confirmed by physicist Clive Best, who examined 5600 weather stations in the global CRUTEM4 temperature and humidity database, finding that water vapor acts as a strong negative feedback rather than a positive feedback as alleged by the IPCC.

[Clive Best] “the IPCC argues that  feedbacks from increased water evaporation will lead to enhanced warming. This is not observed in those regions most effected by water vapour. In fact the opposite seems to be the case implying negative feedback.”

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117, D16115, 7 PP., 2012

doi:10.1029/2012JD017953

Why does the temperature rise faster in the arid region of northwest China?

Key Points

  • Faster rise of annual temperature is mainly caused by winter temperature rising
  • The most important factor of winter temperature rising is Siberian High
  • The effect of Siberian High on temperature is greater than greenhouse gas’s

Baofu Li

State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, China

Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Yaning Chen

State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, China

Xun Shi

Department of Geography, Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, USA

During 1960–2010, the air temperature in the arid region of northwest China had a significant rising trend (P < 0.001), at a rate of 0.343°C/decade, higher than the average of China (0.25°C/decade) and that of the entire globe (0.13°C/decade) for the same period. Based on the analysis of the data from 74 meteorological stations in the region for 1960–2010, we found that among the four seasons the temperature change of winter has been playing the most important role in the yearly change in this region. We also found that the winter temperature in this region has a strong association with the Siberian High (correlation coefficient: R = −0.715) and the greenhouse gas emission (R = 0.51), and between the two the former is stronger. We thus suggest that the weakening of the Siberian High during the 1980s to 1990s on top of the steady increasing of the greenhouse emission is the main reason for the higher rate of the temperature rise in the arid region of the northwest China.

Repost from The Hockey Schtick  This is a puzzle for our local warmers. All climate models are based on water vapor being a positive feedback. If in fact water vapor is a negative feedback, than all the global warming climate models are wrong, and we are no in danger of run away global warming.

Romney’s Insight Spot On!

Russ Steele

Our local left and the lefty press in UK attacked Romney for suggesting that London was not really ready for the Olympics, there were still things to be done.  Now there is visible evidence he was correct. Despite tickets for the events being sold out, television images revealed scores of empty seats at the swimming, dressage, volleyball and tennis.

Now we learn that prompter are having army troops fill the empty seats that may have been give to corporations and VIPs that chose not to come, thus deny seats to traveler who came to London to see the Olympics. There were also fears last week that long queues and transport problems would leave many ticket holders unable to get to their seats in times to watch the main events.

Not prepared?

Reality Check: Local Warmers Please Provide Explanation

Russ Steele

Scientist have two long temperature records that go beyond the 300 year of temperatures using the mercury thermometer. One is the ice cores from the arctic and antarctic glaciers, the other is tree rings from fossilized trees.  Assuming that the tree ring analysis is consistent with good scientific practice. Long time readers of my blogs, Watts Up With That and Climate Audit know about the “hockey stick” tree ring fraud.

Two studies, one tree ring and the other ice core have come to may attention. Both signal a long term cooling, with past warm periods much warmer than we experienced in the 1980s and 1890s during a warm phase PDO and a very active sun. As you look at the following graphs you can see the warm periods and the following cold periods. The planet warms and then it cools, on a regular cycle. We just completed a warm cycle and are now we are on the cusp of a long down slope cooling cycle. But, I digress.

Here are the two graphic I mentioned above. The first by Grootes, P.M. (et al), “Comparison of oxygen isotope records from the GISP2 and GRIP Greenland ice cores,” Nature, 366, 1993, pp. 552-4

The second is a more recent study of tree-ring which concludes that not only has our climate often been noticeably hotter than today, temperatures have actually been on a falling trend for the past 2,000 years.

Orbital forcing of tree-ring data Jan Esper, (et al) Nature Climate Change (2012) Published online 08 July 2012

Note that both of the studies, from different sources and process show a long term cooing trend.

Now, I would like to hear from our local warmers who are claiming that humans are responsible for the unprecedented global warming. When is fact the earth has warmed and cooled many times in the past without any human intervention. So, why is the current warming human caused?  How do you know? What evidence do you have that refutes the two graphics above?  Please post your results in the comments.